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Chicago Cubs at Chicago Chicago White Sox

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
vs
Cubs logo
Cubs
Chicago
10
CWS 55%45% CHC
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRate Field
Chicago, Illinois

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cubs (away)
Chicago White Sox (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Cubs defeated the Chicago White Sox 10-5.

Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 55% confidence, but the Cubs pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Chicago White Sox (0 out) vs Cubs (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Chicago White Sox (1 day rest) vs Cubs (1 day rest)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cubs won 5-10

Cubs won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Chicago White Sox at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHC
CWS
Home Field Advantage
Favours CHC|Favours CWS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/15/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Cubs

Colin ReaSP
Jameson TaillonSP
Shota ImanagaSP
Edward CabreraSP
Carson KellyC

Chicago White Sox

Anthony KaySP
Sean BurkeSP
Davis MartinSP
Noah SchultzSP
Erick FeddeSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Chicago White Sox has a 55% win probability, while Cubs has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois.

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