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Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
11
vs
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
8
PHI 26%74% BAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBayCare Ballpark
Clearwater, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Orioles (away)
Phillies (home)
74%
Win probability
26%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Phillies defeated the Orioles 11-8.

Our model predicted the Orioles would win with 74% confidence, but the Phillies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Orioles

Trevor RogersSP
Dean KremerSP
Chris BassittSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP

Phillies

Andrew PainterSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Aaron NolaSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Zack WheelerSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Phillies has a 26% win probability, while Orioles has a 74% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida.

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