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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Yankees logo
Yankees
New York
5
vs
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
4
NYY 55%45% BAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGeorge M. Steinbrenner Field
Tampa, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Orioles (away)
Yankees (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Yankees defeated the Orioles 5-4.

Our model predicted the Yankees would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Yankees and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Yankees won 5-4

Yankees won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Yankees at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BAL
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Favours BAL|Favours NYY

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/19/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Orioles

Chris BassittSP
Trevor RogersSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP
Brandon YoungSP

Yankees

Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Ryan WeathersSP
J.C. EscarraC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Yankees has a 55% win probability, while Orioles has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida.

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