NHL weekly recap: week of 2026-05-25 (2025-26)
Hit rate this week: 20% across 5 games; season-to-date: 53%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 56% — final MTL 0–CAR 4
- Home Field Advantage (favors MTL)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche at Golden Knights Mon, May 25 | VGK 49% • COL 51% | VGK 5–COL 3 | Miss |
| Hurricanes at Canadiens Tue, May 26 | MTL 56% • CAR 44% | MTL 2–CAR 3 | Miss |
| Avalanche at Golden Knights Wed, May 27 | VGK 49% • COL 51% | VGK 2–COL 1 | Miss |
| Hurricanes at Canadiens Thu, May 28 | MTL 56% • CAR 44% | MTL 0–CAR 4 | Miss |
| Canadiens at Hurricanes Sat, May 30 | CAR 56% • MTL 44% | CAR 6–MTL 1 | Hit |