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Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
3
vs
Capitals logo
Capitals
Washington
0
STL 51%49% WSH
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueEnterprise Center
St. Louis, MO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Capitals (away)
Blues (home)
49%
Win probability
51%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blues defeated the Capitals 3-0.

Our model predicted the Blues would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Blues are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Capitals and was a contributing factor: Capitals offense (3.1 PPG) outpaces Blues (2.6 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Capitals and was a contributing factor: Capitals defense (2.9 Opp PPG) better than Blues (3.4 Opp PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blues won 3-0

Blues won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blues at 51%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WSH
STL
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours WSH|Favours STL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/24/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Capitals

Charlie LindgrenG
Clay StevensonG
Logan ThompsonG
Jesper VikmanG
David KampfC

Blues

Georgi RomanovG
Joel HoferG
Jordan BinningtonG
Jack FinleyC
Pius SuterC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blues has a 51% win probability, while Capitals has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.

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