Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators
Nashville Predators 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Predators:
- Home Field Advantage. Predators are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NSH 50% (−3)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: NSH 54% (+1)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: NSH 54% (+1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NSH 54% (+1)
Win probability movement
NSH home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Predators defeated the Golden Knights 4-1.
Our model predicted the Predators would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Predators and was a notable factor: Predators are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights defense (3.1 Opp PPG) better than Predators (3.4 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights offense (3.3 PPG) outpaces Predators (2.9 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Predators won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Golden Knights
Predators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Predators has a 53% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.