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Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Sharks logo
Sharks
San Jose
4
vs
Maple Leafs logo
Maple Leafs
Toronto
1
SJS 55%45% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSAP Center at San Jose
San Jose, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Maple Leafs (away)
Sharks (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Sharks defeated the Maple Leafs 4-1.

Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a notable factor: Sharks are 0-0 at home this season
  • Rest Days favored the Maple Leafs and was a contributing factor: Maple Leafs rest advantage (3 days rest) over Sharks (1 day rest)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Sharks (30-25) vs Maple Leafs (27-25)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Sharks won 4-1

Sharks won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Sharks at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TOR
SJS
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Recent Form
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Favours TOR|Favours SJS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/2/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Maple Leafs

Joseph WollG
Anthony StolarzG
John TavaresC
Max DomiC
Steven LorentzC

Sharks

Alex NedeljkovicG
Laurent BrossoitG
Yaroslav AskarovG
Tyler ToffoliC
Macklin CelebriniC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Sharks has a 55% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.

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