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Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
3
vs
Lightning logo
Lightning
Tampa Bay
2
MTL 11%89% TBL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBell Centre
Montreal, QC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Lightning (away)
Canadiens (home)
89%
Win probability
11%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Canadiens defeated the Lightning 3-2.

Our model predicted the Lightning would win with 89% confidence, but the Canadiens pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Lightning

Dennis HildebyG
Mads SogaardG
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Harrison MeneghinG
Kyle KoninG

Canadiens

Sam MontembeaultG
Kaapo KahkonenG
Jacob FowlerG
Jakub DobesG
Kirby DachC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canadiens has a 11% win probability, while Lightning has a 89% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC.

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