Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames
NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Lightning (away)
Flames (home)
26%
Win probability
74%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flames defeated the Lightning 4-3.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Lightning
Dennis HildebyG
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Harrison MeneghinG
Kyle KoninG
Jonas JohanssonG
Flames
Tobias TrejbalG
Devin CooleyG
Dustin WolfG
Mikael BacklundC
Morgan FrostC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 74% win probability, while Lightning has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.