St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Sharks:
- Home Field Advantage. Nashville Predators are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Offensive Efficiency. Nashville Predators offense (2.9 PPG) outpaces St. Louis Blues (2.6 PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SJS 53% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SJS 55% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: SJS 56% (−1)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SJS 56% (−1)
Win probability movement
SJS home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blues defeated the Sharks 3-2.
Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 57% confidence, but the Blues won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a contributing factor: Nashville Predators are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Sharks and was a contributing factor: Nashville Predators offense (2.9 PPG) outpaces St. Louis Blues (2.6 PPG)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Nashville Predators (27-26) vs St. Louis Blues (23-29)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blues won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors San Jose Sharks
- Recent FormNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Blues
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 57% win probability, while Blues has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.