San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators
Nashville Predators 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Predators:
- Home Field Advantage. Predators are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NSH 51% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: NSH 55% (0)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NSH 55% (0)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: NSH 55% (0)
Win probability movement
NSH home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Predators defeated the Sharks 6-3.
Our model predicted the Predators would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Predators and was a notable factor: Predators are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar offensive efficiency (2.9 vs 3.1 PPG)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Predators (28-26) vs Sharks (30-25)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Predators won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Sharks
Predators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Predators has a 55% win probability, while Sharks has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.