Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Lightning defeated the Penguins 6-3.
Our model predicted the Lightning would win with 91% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Lightning
Penguins
Key Players
Penguins
Lightning
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Lightning has a 91% win probability, while Penguins has a 9% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL.