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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
1
vs
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
4
NYI 58%42% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueUBS Arena
Elmont, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flyers (away)
Islanders (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Flyers defeated the Islanders 4-1.

Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 58% confidence, but the Flyers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders rest advantage (3 days rest) over Flyers (1 day rest)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Flyers won 1-4

Flyers won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Islanders at 58%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
NYI
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours PHI|Favours NYI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Islanders

Our Model58%

Flyers

Our Model42%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/3/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Flyers

Samuel ErssonG
Aleksei KolosovG
Dan VladarG
Carson BjarnasonG
Christian DvorakC

Islanders

Semyon VarlamovG
Ilya SorokinG
David RittichG
Calum RitchieC
Brayden SchennC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Islanders has a 58% win probability, while Flyers has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.

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