New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Sharks:
- Home Field Advantage. San Jose Sharks are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SJS 48% (−4)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SJS 54% (+2)
- If the rest edge were neutral: SJS 54% (+2)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SJS 51% (−1)
Make Your Prediction
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Islanders defeated the Sharks 2-1.
Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 52% confidence, but the Islanders won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a notable factor: San Jose Sharks are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: New York Islanders defense (2.8 Opp PPG) better than San Jose Sharks (3.5 Opp PPG)
- Rest Days favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: New York Islanders rest advantage (2 days rest) over San Jose Sharks (1 day rest)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Islanders won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New York Islanders
- Rest DaysFavors New York Islanders
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Islanders
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 52% win probability, while Islanders has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.