Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Sharks:
- Home Field Advantage. Sharks are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SJS 52% (−4)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SJS 56% (0)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SJS 55% (−1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: SJS 56% (0)
Win probability movement
SJS home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Panthers defeated the Sharks 6-3.
Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 56% confidence, but the Panthers won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a notable factor: Sharks are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar defensive efficiency (3.5 vs 3.3 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar offensive efficiency (3.1 vs 3.0 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Panthers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Panthers
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 56% win probability, while Panthers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB.