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Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
5
vs
Stars logo
Stars
Dallas
2
MIN 56%44% DAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGrand Casino Arena
Saint Paul, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Stars (away)
Wild (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Wild defeated the Stars 5-2.

Our model predicted the Wild would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Wild (0 out) vs Stars (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Wild won 5-2

Wild won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Wild at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DAL
MIN
Home Field Advantage
Favours DAL|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Wild

Our Model56%

Stars

Our Model44%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/30/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Stars

Casey DeSmithG
Jake OettingerG
Ben KrawsG
Roope HintzC
Justin HryckowianC

Wild

Chase WutzkeG
Riley MercerG
Filip GustavssonG
Cal PetersenG
Jesper WallstedtG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Wild has a 56% win probability, while Stars has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.

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