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Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Capitals logo
Capitals
Washington
2
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
3
WSH 59%41% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCapital One Arena
Washington, DC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Capitals (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Avalanche defeated the Capitals 3-2.

Our model predicted the Capitals would win with 59% confidence, but the Avalanche pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Avalanche

Scott WedgewoodG
Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Magnus ChronaG
Parker KellyC
Martin NecasC

Capitals

Clay StevensonG
Logan ThompsonG
Jesper VikmanG
Charlie LindgrenG
Ethen FrankC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Capitals has a 59% win probability, while Avalanche has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.

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