NFL2026 season
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Sep 9, 2026
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
13
vs
NE
New England Patriots
10
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
New England Patriots
- ELO Rating — Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Patriots ELO 1585 (diff: -177)
Seattle Seahawks
- Injuries — Seahawks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 9 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Bears ELO 1531 (diff: +130)
- Home Field Advantage — Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Bears are 2-1 on the road
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