NFL2026 season
Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
27
vs
MIA
Miami Dolphins
13
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Las Vegas Raiders
- Injuries — Raiders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days — Raiders has rest advantage (13 days) over Jets (14 days)
Miami Dolphins
- Injuries — Dolphins healthier: 1 out, 1 doubtful vs Patriots 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Dolphins are 0-2 at home this season; Patriots are 1-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.