Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

NFLWeek 18 • regular • 2024

completed

Titans

Tennessee

Texans

Houston

TEN 49%51% HOU

Prediction Confidence:

High

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VenueNissan Stadium

Nashville, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Texans (away)

Titans (home)

51%

Win probability

49%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Texans won 14-23

Texans won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Texans at 51%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

HOU

TEN

Home Field Advantage

Turnover Differential

Rest Days

Defensive Efficiency

Offensive Efficiency

Recent Form

Favours HOU|Favours TEN

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Turnover Differential

Tennessee Titans turnover differential (-4) vs Houston Texans (+2)

Texans

Defensive Efficiency

Houston Texans defense (4.9 YPP allowed) is stronger than Tennessee Titans (5.0 YPP allowed)

Texans

Offensive Efficiency

Similar offensive efficiency (5.1 vs 5.2 YPP)

Neutral

Recent Form

Similar form: Tennessee Titans (10-8) vs Houston Texans (11-7)

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Tennessee Titans (0 out) vs Houston Texans (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Low impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Tennessee Titans are 5-4 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)

Titans

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Houston Texans has rest advantage (10 days) over Tennessee Titans (7 days)

Texans

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:15 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Titans has a 49% win probability, while Texans has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.

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