Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bears defeated the Packers 24-22.
Our model predicted the Packers would win with 75% confidence, but the Bears pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Packers and was a notable factor: Green Bay Packers (11-7) in better form than Chicago Bears (4-14)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Packers and was a major factor: Green Bay Packers are 9-1 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Packers and was a notable factor: Green Bay Packers offense (5.2 YPP) outpaces Chicago Bears (4.6 YPP)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bears won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Green Bay Packers are 9-1 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Rest & Schedule
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Packers has a 75% win probability, while Bears has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI.