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NBA2026-27 season

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Lakers logo
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
Upcoming
Heat logo
MIA
Miami Heat
LAL 81%19% MIA
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Home Field Advantage — Lakers are 3-2 at home this season; Trail Blazers are 2-1 on the road
Miami Heat
  • Injuries — Heat healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Offensive Efficiency — Heat offense (108.5 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)

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