PlayDecoded
Menu
NBA2026-27 season

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Fri, Oct 23, 2026

Spurs logo
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
110
vs
Rockets logo
HOU
Houston Rockets
114
SAS 17%83% HOU
Open the game page

This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Houston Rockets
  • Defensive Efficiency — Rockets defense (110.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Rockets offense (121.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Suns ELO 1485 vs Rockets ELO 1565 (diff: -81)
San Antonio Spurs
  • ELO Rating — Trail Blazers ELO 1557 vs Spurs ELO 1593 (diff: -35)

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.