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NBA2026-27 season

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Timberwolves logo
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
Upcoming
Warriors logo
GSW
Golden State Warriors
MIN 92%8% GSW
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Golden State Warriors
  • Defensive Efficiency — Warriors defense (119.0 Opp PPG) better than Magic (123.5 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage — Warriors are 3-1 at home this season; Magic are 1-1 on the road
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Defensive Efficiency — Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (121.5 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (119.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Pelicans ELO 1436 vs Timberwolves ELO 1566 (diff: -130)

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