NBA2026-27 season
Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Golden State Warriors
- Defensive Efficiency — Warriors defense (119.0 Opp PPG) better than Magic (123.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage — Warriors are 3-1 at home this season; Magic are 1-1 on the road
Miami Heat
- Injuries — Heat healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Heat offense (108.5 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)
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