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NBA2026-27 season

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Wed, Oct 14, 2026

Mavericks logo
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
97
vs
Pelicans logo
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
101
DAL 42%58% NOP
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

No 2026-27 meetings yet.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Dallas Mavericks
  • Defensive Efficiency — Mavericks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Mavericks offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Jazz (111.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Mavericks ELO 1423 vs Jazz ELO 1370 (diff: +53)
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Home Field Advantage — Pelicans are 1-1 at home this season; Timberwolves are 5-2 on the road
  • Injuries — Pelicans less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Timberwolves players matter more

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