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NBA2026-27 season

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Fri, Oct 16, 2026

Mavericks logo
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
111
vs
Hawks logo
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
135
DAL 35%65% ATL
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

No 2026-27 meetings yet.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Atlanta Hawks
  • Defensive Efficiency — Hawks defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Nets (110.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Hawks offense (130.0 PPG) outpaces Nets (103.0 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Hawks ELO 1596 vs Nets ELO 1409 (diff: +187)
Dallas Mavericks
  • Defensive Efficiency — Mavericks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Mavericks offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Jazz (111.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Mavericks ELO 1423 vs Jazz ELO 1370 (diff: +53)

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