Toronto Raptors at New York Knicks
Toronto Raptors 77% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Raptors:
- Offensive Efficiency. Raptors offense (122.3 PPG) outpaces Knicks (102.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Raptors defense (111.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (125.2 Opp PPG)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Knicks defeated the Raptors 122-120.
Our model predicted the Raptors would win with 77% confidence, but the Knicks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors offense (122.3 PPG) outpaces Knicks (102.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors defense (111.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (125.2 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Knicks and was a contributing factor: Knicks less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Raptors 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Raptors players mat...
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Knicks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
- ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Raptors offense (122.3 PPG) outpaces Knicks (102.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Raptors defense (111.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (125.2 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Raptors (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
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Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Raptors
Knicks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Knicks has a 23% win probability, while Raptors has a 77% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.