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San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
109
vs
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
139
MIN 40%60% SAS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueTarget Center
Minneapolis, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Spurs (away)
Timberwolves (home)
60%
Win probability
40%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Spurs defeated the Timberwolves 139-109.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Timberwolves and was a contributing factor: Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Timberwolves (43-28)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Spurs won 109-139

Spurs won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Spurs at 60%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAS
MIN
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Offensive Efficiency
Favours SAS|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/15/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Spurs

Jordan McLaughlinG
Dylan HarperG
De'Aaron FoxG
Devin VassellG
Stephon CastleG

Timberwolves

Bones HylandG
Ayo DosunmuG
Anthony EdwardsG
Zyon PullinG
Donte DiVincenzoG

Frequently Asked Questions

Timberwolves has a 40% win probability, while Spurs has a 60% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.

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