San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Timberwolves defeated the Spurs 114-109.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 60% confidence, but the Timberwolves pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Timberwolves and was a contributing factor: Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Timberwolves (43-28)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Timberwolves won by a solid margin
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Spurs
Timberwolves
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Timberwolves has a 40% win probability, while Spurs has a 60% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.