Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs 91% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Spurs:
- Offensive Efficiency. Spurs offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Kings (104.2 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Spurs defense (111.8 Opp PPG) better than Kings (115.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Spurs ELO 1621 vs Kings ELO 1345 (diff: +276)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Spurs defeated the Kings 126-97.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 91% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Kings (104.2 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.8 Opp PPG) better than Kings (115.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs ELO 1621 vs Kings ELO 1345 (diff: +276)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Spurs have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Kings have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Spurs won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- ELO RatingFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Antonio Spurs
- InjuriesFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Spurs offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Kings (104.2 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (111.8 Opp PPG) better than Kings (115.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Spurs turnover differential (+0) vs Kings (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Spurs ELO 1621 vs Kings ELO 1345 (diff: +276)
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Kings
Spurs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Spurs has a 91% win probability, while Kings has a 9% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.