Sacramento Kings at LA Clippers
LA Clippers 87% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Clippers:
- Defensive Efficiency. Clippers defense (112.6 Opp PPG) better than Kings (120.9 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Clippers offense (113.4 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.6 PPG)
- Recent Form. Clippers (33-32) in better form than Kings (16-51)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: LAC 69% (−18)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: LAC 77% (−10)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: LAC 79% (−8)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAC 80% (−7)
Win probability movement
LAC home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kings defeated the Clippers 118-109.
Our model predicted the Clippers would win with 87% confidence, but the Kings won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Clippers and was a major factor: Clippers defense (112.6 Opp PPG) better than Kings (120.9 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Clippers and was a notable factor: Clippers offense (113.4 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.6 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Clippers and was a notable factor: Clippers (33-32) in better form than Kings (16-51)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kings won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors LA Clippers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors LA Clippers
- Recent FormFavors LA Clippers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors LA Clippers
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Clippers defense (112.6 Opp PPG) better than Kings (120.9 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Clippers offense (113.4 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.6 PPG)
Recent Form
Clippers (33-32) in better form than Kings (16-51)
Turnover Differential
Clippers turnover differential (+0) vs Kings (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Kings
Clippers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Clippers has a 87% win probability, while Kings has a 13% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA.