Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors 85% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Warriors:
- Offensive Efficiency. Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Kings (106.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Warriors defense (108.3 Opp PPG) better than Kings (120.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Warriors are 1-0 at home this season; Kings are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Warriors defeated the Kings 111-106.
Our model predicted the Warriors would win with 85% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Kings (106.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors defense (108.3 Opp PPG) better than Kings (120.5 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Kings and was a major factor: Kings healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 2 out, 0 doubtful
- The Warriors are without 2 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Warriors won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Golden State Warriors
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Golden State Warriors
- InjuriesFavors Sacramento Kings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Golden State Warriors
- ELO RatingFavors Golden State Warriors
- Rest DaysFavors Golden State Warriors
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Kings (106.5 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Warriors defense (108.3 Opp PPG) better than Kings (120.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Warriors turnover differential (+0) vs Kings (+0)
Injuries
Kings healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 2 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Warriors are 1-0 at home this season; Kings are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Kings
Warriors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Warriors has a 85% win probability, while Kings has a 15% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.