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Portland Trail Blazers at Phoenix Suns

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Suns logo
Suns
Phoenix
0
vs
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
0
PHX 18%82% POR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Portland Trail Blazers 82% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Trail Blazers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating. Suns ELO 1485 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1557 (diff: -73)

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VenueMortgage Matchup Center
Phoenix, AZ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Trail Blazers (away)
Suns (home)
82%
Win probability
18%
2
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Trail Blazers at Suns

The Trail Blazers visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the Trail Blazers a 82% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Suns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating favors the Trail Blazers (low): Suns ELO 1485 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1557 (diff: -73)
Trail Blazers82%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors POR

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • ELO RatingFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Phoenix Suns
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

POR
PHX
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours POR|Favours PHX

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)

Trail Blazers

Defensive Efficiency

Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)

Trail Blazers

Turnover Differential

Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Trail Blazers

Chris YoungbloodG
Ja MorantG
Scoot HendersonG
Sidy CissokoG
Jrue HolidayG

Suns

Kennedy ChandlerG
Luke KennardG
Koby BreaG
Collin GillespieG
Jordan GoodwinG

Frequently Asked Questions

Suns has a 18% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 82% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.

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