Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns
Orlando Magic 67% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Magic:
- Offensive Efficiency. Magic offense (109.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Magic defense (123.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Suns ELO 1485 vs Magic ELO 1517 (diff: -32)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Magic at Suns
The Magic visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.
Our model gives the Magic a 67% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Suns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Magic (high): Magic offense (109.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Suns (medium): Suns are 1-1 at home this season; Magic are 1-1 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Magic (low): Magic defense (123.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Orlando Magic
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Phoenix Suns
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Orlando Magic
- ELO RatingFavors Orlando Magic
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Magic offense (109.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Magic defense (123.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Magic (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Magic
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 33% win probability, while Magic has a 67% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.