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New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors

NBApreseason • 2026-27 Season
completed
Raptors logo
Raptors
Toronto
148
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
98
TOR 80%20% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Toronto Raptors 80% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Raptors:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Raptors offense (109.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.3 PPG)
  • Rest Days. Raptors rest advantage (3 days rest) over Knicks (back-to-back)
  • Home Field Advantage. Raptors are 1-1 at home this season; Knicks are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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VenueScotiabank Arena
Toronto, ON

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
Raptors (home)
20%
Win probability
80%
0
High-impact factors
2
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Raptors defeated the Knicks 148-98.

Our model predicted the Raptors would win with 80% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors offense (109.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.3 PPG)
  • Rest Days favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors rest advantage (3 days rest) over Knicks (back-to-back)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Raptors and was a notable factor: Raptors are 1-1 at home this season; Knicks are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Raptors won 148-98

Raptors won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Raptors at 80%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
  • Rest DaysFavors Toronto Raptors
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Raptors
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • InjuriesFavors Toronto Raptors
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
TOR
Offensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Injuries
Defensive Efficiency
Favours NYK|Favours TOR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Raptors offense (109.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.3 PPG)

Raptors

Defensive Efficiency

Similar defensive efficiency (117.5 vs 117.7 Opp PPG)

Neutral

Turnover Differential

Raptors turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)

Neutral

Rest Days

Raptors rest advantage (3 days rest) over Knicks (back-to-back)

Raptors

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/13/2026, 10:45:01 PM

Key Players

Knicks

Bruce BrownG
Josh HartG
Jose AlvaradoG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G
Landry ShametG

Raptors

Jamal SheadG
Andre Jackson Jr.G
Malachi SmithG
Chucky HepburnG
Alijah MartinG

Frequently Asked Questions

Raptors has a 80% win probability, while Knicks has a 20% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.

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