New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder 50% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Thunder:
- ELO Rating. Thunder ELO 1670 vs Pelicans ELO 1425 (diff: +246); both ratings carried over from last season
- Home Field Advantage. Standard home-field edge for Thunder (no home or road games yet this season)
Make Your Prediction
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pelicans defeated the Thunder 116-110.
Our model predicted the Thunder would win with 50% confidence, but the Pelicans pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Thunder 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Thunder players m...
- ELO Rating favored the Thunder and was a major factor: Thunder ELO 1670 vs Pelicans ELO 1425 (diff: +246); both ratings carried over from last season
- Home Field Advantage favored the Thunder and was a notable factor: Standard home-field edge for Thunder (no home or road games yet this season)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pelicans won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New Orleans Pelicans
- ELO RatingFavors Oklahoma City Thunder
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Oklahoma City Thunder
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Pelicans less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Thunder 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Thunder players matter more
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Thunder ELO 1670 vs Pelicans ELO 1425 (diff: +246); both ratings carried over from last season
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Pelicans
Thunder
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Thunder has a 50% win probability, while Pelicans has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at BOK Center in Tulsa, OK.