PlayDecoded
Menu

Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks

NBApreseason • 2026-27 Season
completed
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
104
vs
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
122
NYK 47%53% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Minnesota Timberwolves 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Timberwolves:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (115.5 Opp PPG)

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Timberwolves (away)
Knicks (home)
53%
Win probability
47%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Timberwolves defeated the Knicks 122-104.

Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.0 PPG)
  • Injuries favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating favored the Knicks and was a notable factor: Knicks ELO 1672 vs Timberwolves ELO 1521 (diff: +151)
  • The Timberwolves are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Timberwolves won 104-122

Timberwolves won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Timberwolves at 53%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
  • InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Rest DaysFavors New York Knicks
  • Home Field AdvantageNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
NYK
Offensive Efficiency
Injuries
ELO Rating
Defensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours NYK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Timberwolves offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.0 PPG)

Timberwolves

Defensive Efficiency

Timberwolves defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (115.5 Opp PPG)

Timberwolves

Turnover Differential

Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful

Knicks

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/12/2026, 11:15:01 PM

Key Players

Timberwolves

LaMelo BallG
Jaylen ClarkG
Donte DiVincenzoG
Ayo DosunmuG
Anthony EdwardsG

Knicks

Jaden AkinsG
Miles McBrideG
Ochai AgbajiG
Tyler KolekG
Jalen BrunsonG

Frequently Asked Questions

Knicks has a 47% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

View all NBA games