Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks
Minnesota Timberwolves 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (115.5 Opp PPG)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Timberwolves defeated the Knicks 122-104.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.0 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Knicks and was a notable factor: Knicks ELO 1672 vs Timberwolves ELO 1521 (diff: +151)
- The Timberwolves are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Timberwolves won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
- ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Rest DaysFavors New York Knicks
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (103.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Timberwolves defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (115.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)
Injuries
Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Timberwolves
Knicks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Knicks has a 47% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

