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Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls

NBApreseason • 2026-27 Season
completed
Bulls logo
Bulls
Chicago
133
vs
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
116
CHI 76%24% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Bulls 76% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bulls:

  • Injuries. Bulls healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • Offensive Efficiency. Bulls offense (119.2 PPG) outpaces Timberwolves (116.2 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. Bulls defense (114.5 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (115.2 Opp PPG)

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VenueUnited Center
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Timberwolves (away)
Bulls (home)
24%
Win probability
76%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bulls defeated the Timberwolves 133-116.

Our model predicted the Bulls would win with 76% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Bulls and was a major factor: Bulls healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Bulls and was a notable factor: Bulls offense (119.2 PPG) outpaces Timberwolves (116.2 PPG)
  • ELO Rating favored the Timberwolves and was a contributing factor: Bulls ELO 1450 vs Timberwolves ELO 1535 (diff: -85)
  • The Timberwolves are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Bulls won 133-116

Bulls won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Bulls at 76%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Chicago Bulls
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Bulls
  • ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Bulls
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bulls
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
CHI
Injuries
Offensive Efficiency
ELO Rating
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Bulls healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful

Bulls

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/16/2026, 11:45:03 PM

Key Players

Timberwolves

Terrence Shannon Jr.G
Jaylen ClarkG
Donte DiVincenzoG
Ayo DosunmuG
Anthony EdwardsG

Bulls

Norman PowellG
Josh GiddeyG
Jordan HawkinsG
Buddy HieldG
Dailyn SwainG

Frequently Asked Questions

Bulls has a 76% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 24% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.

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