Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns
Houston Rockets 84% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rockets:
- Offensive Efficiency. Rockets offense (121.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Rockets defense (110.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Suns ELO 1485 vs Rockets ELO 1565 (diff: -81)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rockets at Suns
The Rockets visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.
Our model gives the Rockets a 84% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Suns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Rockets (high): Rockets offense (121.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Rockets (high): Rockets defense (110.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Rockets (low): Suns ELO 1485 vs Rockets ELO 1565 (diff: -81)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Houston Rockets
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Houston Rockets
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Rockets
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Rockets offense (121.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (83.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Rockets defense (110.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (124.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Rockets (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rockets
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 17% win probability, while Rockets has a 84% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.