Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rockets:
- ELO Rating. Mavericks ELO 1429 vs Rockets ELO 1537 (diff: -108); both ratings carried over from last season
- Injuries. Rockets less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Mavericks 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Mavericks players matter more
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rockets defeated the Mavericks 135-117.
Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- ELO Rating favored the Rockets and was a contributing factor: Mavericks ELO 1429 vs Rockets ELO 1537 (diff: -108); both ratings carried over from last season
- Injuries favored the Rockets and was a contributing factor: Rockets less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Mavericks 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Mavericks player...
- Home Field Advantage favored the Mavericks and was a contributing factor: Standard home-field edge for Mavericks (no home or road games yet this season) (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rockets won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Rockets
- InjuriesFavors Houston Rockets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Mavericks
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rockets
Mavericks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mavericks has a 48% win probability, while Rockets has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Venetian Arena in .