Detroit Pistons at Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Pistons (108.5 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. First home game of the season for Timberwolves; Pistons are 0-1 on the road
- Rest Days. Timberwolves rest advantage (2 days rest) over Pistons (4 days rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pistons defeated the Timberwolves 128-106.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 63% confidence, but the Pistons pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Pistons (108.5 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: First home game of the season for Timberwolves; Pistons are 0-1 on the road
- The Timberwolves are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pistons won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Pistons
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- ELO RatingNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Pistons (108.5 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pistons defense (110.5 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (112.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Timberwolves turnover differential (+0) vs Pistons (+0)
Injuries
Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Pistons
Timberwolves
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Timberwolves has a 63% win probability, while Pistons has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.