Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets 91% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rockets:
- Offensive Efficiency. Rockets offense (135.0 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (117.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Rockets defense (117.0 Opp PPG) better than Mavericks (135.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries. Rockets less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Mavericks 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Mavericks players matter more
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Mavericks defeated the Rockets 132-115.
Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 91% confidence, but the Mavericks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets offense (135.0 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (117.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets defense (117.0 Opp PPG) better than Mavericks (135.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Rockets and was a notable factor: Rockets less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Mavericks 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Mavericks player...
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Mavericks won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Houston Rockets
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Houston Rockets
- InjuriesFavors Houston Rockets
- ELO RatingFavors Houston Rockets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Houston Rockets
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Rockets offense (135.0 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (117.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Rockets defense (117.0 Opp PPG) better than Mavericks (135.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Rockets turnover differential (+0) vs Mavericks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Mavericks
Rockets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockets has a 91% win probability, while Mavericks has a 9% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Venetian Arena in .