Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets
Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets head-to-head
Boston Celtics 87% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Celtics:
- Offensive Efficiency. Celtics offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (95.5 PPG)
- Injuries. Celtics healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Hornets 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Defensive Efficiency. Celtics defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (115.5 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: BOS 75% (−12)
- If the injury edge were neutral: BOS 78% (−9)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: BOS 81% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: BOS 84% (−3)
Win probability movement
CHA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Celtics at Hornets
The Celtics visit the Hornets at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Celtics a 87% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Hornets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Celtics (high): Celtics offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (95.5 PPG)
- Injuries favors the Celtics (high): Celtics healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Hornets 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Celtics (medium): Celtics defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (115.5 Opp PPG)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Hornets have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Celtics have 1.
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
- InjuriesFavors Boston Celtics
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
- ELO RatingFavors Boston Celtics
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Celtics offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (95.5 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Celtics defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (115.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Hornets turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)
Injuries
Celtics healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Hornets 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Hornets
Celtics
Key Players
Celtics
Hornets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Charlotte Hornets
- Previous game90%BKN win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Boston Celtics
- Previous game63%BOS win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 7, 2026
- 92%ATL win probability
- 61%PHI win probability
- 77%MIN win probability
- 76%TOR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Hornets has a 13% win probability, while Celtics has a 87% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC.