MLB2026 season
Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
17%
1 of 6 decided games
Meetings graded
6
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
Texas Rangers
- Defensive Efficiency — Rangers pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Twins (4.9 RA/G)
- Injuries — Rangers healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Twins (9 out, 0 doubtful)
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