PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Wed, Jun 17, 2026

Dodgers logo
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
5
vs
Rays logo
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
4
LAD 55%45% TB
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
100%
3 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Injuries — Dodgers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Brewers 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage — Dodgers are 42-29 at home this season; Brewers are 44-31 on the road
  • Defensive Efficiency — Dodgers pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Brewers (3.8 RA/G)
Tampa Bay Rays

No recent factors yet.

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.