MLB2026 season
Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jun 11, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- TEX at KCThu, Jun 11, 2026KC 54%TEX 4–2
- TEX at KCWed, Jun 10, 2026KC 54%TEX 6–4
- TEX at KCTue, Jun 9, 2026KC 54%KC 3–5
- KC at TEXSun, May 31, 2026TEX 56%TEX 3–6
- KC at TEXSat, May 30, 2026TEX 56%TEX 6–7
- KC at TEXFri, May 29, 2026TEX 54%TEX 1–9
- KC at TEXTue, Mar 24, 2026TEX 55%TEX 1–4
- KC at TEXMon, Mar 23, 2026TEX 55%TEX 2–3
- KC at TEXWed, Mar 18, 2026TEX 55%TEX 3–12
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
78%
7 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
7
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Kansas City Royals
- Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road
Texas Rangers
- Defensive Efficiency — Rangers pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Twins (4.9 RA/G)
- Injuries — Rangers healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Twins (9 out, 0 doubtful)
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