MLB2026 season
Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIN at KCThu, Aug 6, 2026KC 54%MIN 4–3
- MIN at KCWed, Aug 5, 2026KC 54%KC 1–2
- MIN at KCTue, Aug 4, 2026KC 54%KC 2–8
- KC at MINThu, Jul 30, 2026MIN 55%MIN 3–4
- KC at MINWed, Jul 29, 2026MIN 55%KC 4–0
- KC at MINTue, Jul 28, 2026MIN 55%MIN 2–3
- KC at MINSun, Jun 7, 2026MIN 55%KC 6–5
- KC at MINSat, Jun 6, 2026MIN 55%KC 3–2
- KC at MINFri, Jun 5, 2026MIN 55%MIN 3–5
- KC at MINThu, Jun 4, 2026MIN 55%KC 8–6
- MIN at KCThu, Apr 2, 2026KC 55%MIN 5–1
- MIN at KCWed, Apr 1, 2026KC 55%KC 9–13
- MIN at KCMon, Mar 30, 2026KC 55%KC 1–3
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
54%
7 of 13 decided games
Meetings graded
13
2026
Correct calls
7
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Kansas City Royals
- Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
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