MLB2026 season
Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jun 11, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIN at DETThu, Jun 11, 2026DET 54%DET 0–11
- MIN at DETWed, Jun 10, 2026DET 54%MIN 6–4
- MIN at DETTue, Jun 9, 2026DET 54%DET 4–10
- DET at MINThu, Apr 9, 2026MIN 55%MIN 1–3
- DET at MINWed, Apr 8, 2026MIN 55%MIN 6–8
- DET at MINTue, Apr 7, 2026MIN 55%MIN 2–4
- DET at MINMon, Apr 6, 2026MIN 55%MIN 3–7
- DET at MINWed, Mar 11, 2026—MIN 1–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
86%
6 of 7 decided games
Meetings graded
7
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Detroit Tigers
- Defensive Efficiency — Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Pirates (4.6 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Tigers are 36-32 at home this season; Pirates are 31-40 on the road
- ELO Rating — Tigers ELO 1529 vs Pirates ELO 1496 (diff: +33)
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
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