MLB2026 season
Athletics vs Minnesota Twins
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
67%
2 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
2
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Athletics
- Home Field Advantage — Oakland Athletics are 31-42 at home this season; Astros are 36-33 on the road
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.

